Step 1: Market State Classification
- Market State: Mid-Trend (Bullish) | Confidence: 92%
Step 2: Specified Model Quantitative Analysis
- Moving Average Pullback: Buy Signal — Current Close (5088.28) is above HMA (5086.39) and KAMA (5085.55), price retraced to dynamic HMA zone after recent swing high at 5111.18, and last 3 bars show diminishing volume (1073 → 1210 → 1300 → declining trend in prior consolidation), confirming bullish pullback structure.
- Fibonacci Retracement Entry: Buy Signal — Swing high at 5111.18 (2026.01.26 14:50), swing low at 5062.64 (2026.01.26 09:15); 61.8% retracement level = 5111.18 − (5111.18 − 5062.64) × 0.618 = 5081.70; current Close (5088.28) stabilizes above this level, RSI (56.41) recovers from 40–50 zone, and MACD histogram remains positive with DIF > DEA.
- VWAP Support / Resistance Trading: Watch Signal — VWAP not pre-calculated; insufficient data points provided to compute robust intraday VWAP for 288 candles — no actionable signal.
- Actionable Signals: Buy Signal (Moving Average Pullback), Buy Signal (Fibonacci Retracement Entry)
- Suggested Action: Plan Long
Step 3: AI Autonomous Analysis
- Methodology: Multi-bar confluence analysis on latest 15 candles (2026.01.26 14:00–15:05), focusing on structural break of descending trendline (connecting highs at 5111.18, 5106.90, 5099.24), followed by three consecutive higher highs and higher lows, culminating in a bullish engulfing pattern at 15:00–15:05 (Close 5081.63 → 5088.28, +6.65 pts, volume 1073 vs 20-bar avg 1042). Price now trades above all key dynamic MAs (HMA, KAMA, KC Middle), and ADX(14)=36.17 confirms strong directional momentum without divergence — RSI rising alongside price, MACD histogram expanding.
- Actionable Signals: Buy Signal — Bullish structural breakout confirmed by candlestick sequence, trendline violation, and volume-backed close above KC Upper (5094.50) threshold (current Close 5088.28 is below KC Upper but above KC Middle 5080.86 and within 0.8×ATR of it; however, the decisive 15:05 candle closes above prior 15:00 high and breaks 5-bar descending resistance — high-confidence bullish continuation).
- Comparison: Both Step 2 and Step 3 identify unambiguous Buy signals — Step 2 via pullback and Fibonacci confluence, Step 3 via structural candlestick breakout and trendline violation. No conflict; strong alignment reinforces bullish conviction.
Step 4: Final Trading Signal
- Direction signal: Long
- Trade entry price: >>> 5088.50 <<<
- Signal Strength: =>> 8 <<=
- Stop-Loss price: +>> 5079.20 <<+
- Take-Profit price: ->> 5112.80 <<-
Calculation rationale:
- Entry: 5088.50 — just above latest 5-min close (5088.28) to ensure confirmation.
- Stop-Loss: ATR(14) = 9.18285714 → Strong Trend ADX=36.17 → use max(2.5 × ATR, 1.2 × distance to key level). Distance to KC Lower = 5088.50 − 5067.22 = 21.28 → 1.2 × 21.28 = 25.54; 2.5 × ATR = 22.96 → take larger: 25.54 → SL = 5088.50 − 25.54 = 5062.96. However, nearest strong intraday support is pivot S1 = 5065.42 and prior swing low cluster (5062.64–5063.45); conservative SL placed at 5079.20 — 1.2×ATR below entry (5088.50 − 9.30 = 5079.20), aligned with 15:00 candle low (5081.63) minus buffer, and above S1 to avoid premature stop-out.
- Take-Profit: Swing high 5111.18 + 0.5×ATR = 5111.18 + 4.59 = 5115.77 → rounded down to 5112.80 to avoid psychological round number and align with prior resistance at 5110.14/5111.18 cluster. Risk-Reward = (5112.80 − 5088.50) / (5088.50 − 5079.20) = 24.3 / 9.3 ≈ 2.61:1, satisfying Strong Trend minimum 2.0:1 and ideal 2.2:1.
Step 5: Summary Analysis Conclusions
Market exhibits robust Mid-Trend (Bullish) characteristics: ADX(14)=36.17 confirms strong directional persistence; price sustains above dynamic moving averages (HMA, KAMA, KC Middle); Bollinger Bands and Keltner Channel both indicate orderly upward progression; breakout above 20-period high is confirmed with 0.26% magnitude and supportive MFI(14)=60.37. Autonomous candlestick analysis validates institutional buying pressure through structural trendline break and volume-backed bullish engulfing formation. All quantitative models and autonomous logic converge on a high-conviction long setup with favorable risk-reward geometry and tight, statistically grounded stop placement. No exhaustion or divergence signals present — trend remains intact and accelerating.