XAUUSD价格趋势分析 (2026-03-21 09:00:19)

1. Macro & Bias

  • Key Levels (H1 Pivot Points):

– Pivot_R3: 4547.91

– Pivot_R2: 4532.26

– Pivot_R1: 4516.79

– Pivot_PP: 4501.14

– Pivot_S1: 4485.67

– Pivot_S2: 4470.02

– Pivot_S3: 4454.55

  • Trend Analysis:

M5: NEUTRAL | Reason: M5 is showing a small body and wicks, indicating indecision.

H1: BEAR | Reason: H1 closed below the pivot point and is showing a bearish candle.

H4: BEAR | Reason: H4 has a weak body and is trading near the mean, but the overall structure is bearish.

  • Alignment Check:

– Alignment: Full | Logic: H4(BEAR) vs H1(BEAR) vs M5(NEUTRAL)

  • Major Bias Definition:

– Major_Bias: BEAR | Reason: H4_Tag is BEAR and not neutral.

2. M5-First Engine

  • Phase 1: Signal Scan

Key Level:

– Dist_R1 = 21.38, Dist_S1 = 9.74

– Min(Dist_R1, Dist_S1) <= 4.96: False

– Key = Pivot_PP = 4501.14

Pre-Filter:

– Filter 1: M5_Body_Abs > 1.38 (True)

– Filter 2: Vol_Ratio >= 0.8 (True)

– Filter 3: |M5_Close – Key| <= 23.04 (True)

ROUTE 1: Long Setup Scan

– Not applicable as the bias is BEAR.

ROUTE 2: Short Setup Scan

– Condition Set A (Breakout – Full Alignment):

– C1: M5_Close < (Key – 4.96) (False)

– C2: (M5_Close < M5_Open) AND (M5_Wick_Upper < M5_Body_Abs) (True)

– No valid breakout setup.

– Condition Set B (Rejection – Pullback/Retracement):

– C1: M5_High >= Key AND M5_Close < Key (False)

– C2: (M5_Close < M5_Open) AND (M5_Wick_Upper < M5_Body_Abs) (True)

– No valid rejection setup.

ROUTE 3: Reversal Scan

– Common Constraint: |M5_Close – Key| > 7.43 (False)

– No valid reversal setup.

Final Output:

– Signal_Dir: NONE | Type: None | Key: 4501.14

3. Quality Scoring

  • Trigger:

– Signal_Dir = NONE, so no scoring is performed.

4. Decision Gate

  • Trigger:

– Signal_Dir = NONE, so no decision gate is executed.

5. Execution & Risk Management

  • Trigger:

– Status = WAIT, so no execution is performed.

6. Final Signal

  • Direction Signal: NEUTRAL / WAIT
  • Signal Strength: =>> 0 <<=
  • Last Close (M5): >>> 4495.41 <<<
  • Support (M5): +>> 4485.67 <<+
  • Resistance (M5): ->> 4516.79 <<-

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