XAUUSD价格趋势分析 (2026-04-09 15:30:41)

Key Levels (H1 Pivot Points)
  • Pivot_R3: 4745.64
  • Pivot_R2: 4735.44
  • Pivot_R1: 4723.90
  • Pivot_PP: 4713.70
  • Pivot_S1: 4702.16
  • Pivot_S2: 4691.96
  • Pivot_S3: 4680.42

Trend Analysis
  • H4_Tag: NEUTRAL
  • H1_Tag: BEAR
  • M5_Tag: BEAR
  • Alignment_Type: Retracement
  • Major_Bias: BEAR

M5-First Engine
  • Phase 1: Signal Verification

– Signal_Dir: BEAR

– Signal_Type: REJECTION

– Signal_Strength: 1.99

– Key_Level: 4713.70

  • Phase 2: Quality Scoring

– Momentum_Score: 0.71 (RSI: 46.39, Dir: BEAR)

– Volume_Score: 0.95 (Vol_Ratio: 0.95)

– Ctx_Mod: 0.5 (Tier: 3, Details: Retracement)

– Div_Mod: 0.0 (Gap: 18.57, Confirmed: False)

– Action_Bonus: 0.0 (Conditions: 0)

– Target_Score: 0.48 (Dist: 0.81, Mom: 0.95)

– Raw_Score: 2.16 (Mom: 0.71 + Vol: 0.95 + Ctx: 0.5 + Div: 0.0 + Act: 0.0)

– Final_Score: 2.64 (Raw: 2.16 + Target: 0.48)

  • Decision Gate

– threshold_val: 2.0 (Base: 2.0 + Adj: 0.0)

– Status: EXECUTE | Reason: Score 2.64 vs Thresh 2.0 (Adj: 0.0) | Veto None | NegScore No

– Strength_Val: -5 (SSR: 0.32%)

Execution & Risk Management
  • Order Execution Logic

– Entry: 4713.50

– Stop Loss: 4733.50 (Reason: Nearest resistance above entry is Pivot_R1 at 4723.90, SL = 4723.90 + 3.45 * 2.30)

– Take Profit: 4702.16 (Reason: Nearest support below entry is Pivot_S1 at 4702.16, TP = 4702.16 – 2.30, Extended: NO, Dynamic: NO)

Final Signal
  • Direction Signal: BEAR
  • Signal Strength: =>> -5 <<=
  • Entry Price: >>> 4713.50 <<<
  • Stop Loss: ->> 4733.50 <<-
  • Take Profit: +>> 4702.16 <<+

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