XAUUSD价格趋势分析 (2026-04-11 00:30:07)

Key Levels (H1 Pivot Points)
  • Pivot_R3: 4813.48
  • Pivot_R2: 4800.41
  • Pivot_R1: 4781.35
  • Pivot_PP: 4768.28
  • Pivot_S1: 4749.22
  • Pivot_S2: 4736.15
  • Pivot_S3: 4717.09

Trend Analysis
  • H4_Tag: NEUTRAL
  • H1_Tag: BEAR
  • M5_Tag: BEAR
  • Alignment_Type: Retracement
  • Major_Bias: BEAR

M5-First Engine
  • Signal_Dir: BEAR
  • Signal_Type: REVERSAL
  • Signal_Strength: 1.34
  • Key_Level: 4768.28

#### Phase 2: Quality Scoring

  • Momentum_Score: 0.45 (RSI: 41.49, Dir: BEAR)
  • Volume_Score: 0.95 (Vol_Ratio: 0.95)
  • Ctx_Mod: 0.5 (Tier: 3, Details: Retracement)
  • Div_Mod: -1.0 (Gap: 5.85, Confirmed: NO)
  • Action_Bonus: 0.0 (Conditions: 0)

  • Target_Score:

Dist_Val: 0.75 (Distance_S2: 24.66, 100.47)

Momentum_Val: 0.725 (Volume_Score: 0.95, Momentum_Score: 0.45 * 0.5)

Target_Score: 0.7375

  • Raw_Score: 0.85 (Mom: 0.45 + Vol: 0.95 + Ctx: 0.5 + Div: -1.0 + Act: 0.0)
  • Final_Score: 1.5875 (Raw: 0.85 + Target: 0.7375)

#### Phase 3: Decision Gate

  • Veto 1. Exhaustion: NO
  • Veto 2. Fakeout: NO
  • Veto 3. Volume Spike with Weak Body: NO

  • Dynamic Thresholds:

Base_Threshold: 1.4 (Retracement)

Vol_Adj: 0.03 ((20.09 / 19.39 – 1.0) * 0.5, Clamped between -0.3 and +0.3)

threshold_val: 1.43 (Base: 1.4 + Adj: 0.03)

  • Final Decision Logic:

Final_Score: 1.5875

threshold_val: 1.43

Status: EXECUTE

Reason: Score 1.5875 vs Thresh 1.43 (Adj: 0.03) | Veto NO | NegScore NO

  • Signal Strength Quantification:

SSR: 0.1102 (1.5875 – 1.43) / 1.43

Strength_Int: 5

Strength_Val: -5 (SSR: 0.1102%)

Execution & Risk Management
  • Entry: 4760.81
  • Stop Loss: 4781.35 (Pivot_R1 + 2.01)
  • Take Profit: 4749.22 (Pivot_S1 – 2.01, Extended: NO, Dynamic: NO)

Final Signal
  • Direction Signal: BEAR
  • Signal Strength: =>> -5 <<=
  • Entry Price: >>> 4760.81 <<<
  • Stop Loss: ->> 4781.35 <<-
  • Take Profit: +>> 4749.22 <<+

发表评论