XAUUSD价格趋势分析 (2026-04-15 19:15:09)

Key Levels (H1 Pivot Points)
  • Pivot_R3: 4821.26
  • Pivot_R2: 4813.21
  • Pivot_R1: 4806.61
  • Pivot_PP: 4798.56
  • Pivot_S1: 4791.96
  • Pivot_S2: 4783.91
  • Pivot_S3: 4777.31

Trend Analysis
  • H4_Tag: NEUTRAL
  • H1_Tag: BULL
  • M5_Tag: BULL
  • Alignment_Type: Retracement
  • Major_Bias: BULL

M5-First Engine

#### Phase 1: Signal Verification

  • Signal_Dir: BULL
  • Signal_Type: REJECTION
  • Signal_Strength: 1.97
  • Key_Level: 4798.56

#### Phase 2: Quality Scoring

  • Momentum_Score: 0.32 (RSI: 46.45, Dir: BULL)
  • Volume_Score: 0.0 (Vol_Ratio: 0.90)
  • Ctx_Mod: 0.5 (Tier: 3, Details: Retracement)
  • Div_Mod: 0.0 (Gap: -1.45, Confirmed: False)
  • Action_Bonus: 0.0 (Conditions: 0)

  • Target_Score:

Distance_R2: 14.29

Dist_Val: 0.84

Momentum_Val: 0.32

Target_Score: 0.58

  • Raw_Score: 0.82 (Mom: 0.32 + Vol: 0.0 + Ctx: 0.5 + Div: 0.0 + Act: 0.0)
  • Final_Score: 1.40 (Raw: 0.82 + Target: 0.58)

  • Threshold Calculation:

Base_Threshold: 1.4

Vol_Adj: 0.0 (g_ATR_H1 / ATR_H1_20Avg – 1.0) * 0.5

threshold_val: 1.40 (Base: 1.4 + Adj: 0.0)

  • Final Decision Logic:

Step 1: Final_Score >= 0.0

Step 2: No Hard Veto Triggered

Step 3: Final_Score (1.40) >= threshold_val (1.40)

Status: EXECUTE

Reason: Score 1.40 vs Thresh 1.40 (Adj: 0.0) | Veto NO | NegScore NO

  • Signal Strength Quantification:

SSR: 0.00

Strength_Int: 1

Strength_Val: 1 (SSR: 0.00%)

Execution & Risk Management

  • Entry: 4798.92
  • Stop-Loss (SL):

– Nearest Support: 4791.96 (Pivot_S1)

– Tentative SL: 4790.16

– SL_Distance: 8.76

– Final_SL: 4783.91 (Next Furthest Support: Pivot_S2)

– Reason: SL_Distance < 20.00

  • Take-Profit (TP):

– Base Target (BT): 4806.61 (Pivot_R1)

– Tentative TP: 4804.81

– Dynamic_Extension: 0.0

– Final_TP: 4804.81

– Reason: BT – 1.80 (Conservative)

Final Signal
  • Direction Signal: BULL
  • Signal Strength: =>> 1 <<=
  • Entry Price: >>> 4798.92 <<<
  • Stop Loss: +>> 4783.91 <<+
  • Take Profit: ->> 4804.81 <<-

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