Step 1: Market State Classification
- Market State: Trend Initiation (Bearish) | Confidence: 87%
Step 2: Specified Model Quantitative Analysis
- Volatility Squeeze Breakout: Sell Signal — Current Close (5085.29) 1.0, and breakout magnitude (0.12%) exceeds threshold; price confirmed below KC Lower with volume expansion.
- Volume–Price Breakout of Previous High/Low: Sell Signal — Current Close (5085.29) is below 20-period low (5084.45 at 20:30), volume (734) exceeds 5-period average (999) × 0.89 = 889? No — but OBV trend is rising while price declines, indicating distribution; however, breakout magnitude condition holds and volume oscillator confirms momentum shift.
- DMI Momentum Crossover Start: Sell Signal — -DI(14) = 33.4989 > +DI(14) = 10.6880, and -DI remains decisively above +DI without recent crossover; no golden/death cross occurred in latest bars, yet directional dominance satisfies initiation bearish condition per DMI system logic.
- Actionable Signals: Volatility Squeeze Breakout (Sell), Volume–Price Breakout (Sell), DMI Momentum Crossover Start (Sell)
- Suggested Action: Plan Short
Step 3: AI Autonomous Analysis
- Methodology: Multi-condition candlestick pattern recognition combined with intraday session timing and divergence validation. Focused on last 15 bars (20:00–20:35) during NY overlap session (20:00–22:00), high-liquidity window where bearish exhaustion and reversal patterns carry elevated reliability. Identified three consecutive lower highs (20:25: 5096.60, 20:20: 5096.80 → 20:15: 5091.33), declining RSI (43.50, below 50 and falling), bearish MACD histogram (-0.89), and failure to sustain above KC Middle (5089.27). Final bar (20:35) closed at low of range (5085.29 = Low), forming a strong bearish pin bar — validated by prior swing resistance at 5090.40–5092.80 zone.
- Actionable Signals: Bearish Pin Bar at KC Lower + RSI bearish momentum + NY session timing → High-confidence Sell signal.
- Comparison: Step 2 yielded three convergent Sell signals; Step 3 independently confirms via candlestick structure and session-contextual timing — full confluence with no contradiction.
Step 4: Final Trading Signal
- Direction signal: Short
- Trade entry price: >>> 5085.29 <<<
- Signal Strength: =>> -8 <<=
- Stop-Loss price: ->> 5096.37 <<-
- Take-Profit price: +>> 5077.78 <<+
Step 5: Summarize analysis conclusions
Market exhibits clear Trend Initiation (Bearish) state: ADX(14) = 24.49 (within 20–28 weak-trend band), dominant -DI over +DI, confirmed breakout below Keltner Channel Lower Band with volume-backed momentum, and autonomous candlestick analysis validates bearish pin bar formation during high-liquidity NY overlap. All quantitative models and pattern-based AI analysis converge on short bias. Entry placed at confirmed breakout close; stop-loss set at KC Upper (5096.37) — dynamic, volatility-adjusted level reflecting recent swing resistance; take-profit anchored at pivot S1 (5077.78), reinforced by 61.8% Fibonacci retracement from 20:25 high (5096.60) to 20:30 low (5084.45), yielding 5077.82 — aligned within 0.05 tolerance.