Step 1: Market State Classification – AI Decision Tree Analysis
#### Primary Branch (ADX(14)):
- ADX(14) = 20.17043362
Since 20.17043362 < 26.16767100, we analyze the market as a Consolidation Market.
#### Consolidation Market Analysis (ADX < 26.16767100):
- Bollinger Bandwidth: 0.00549777
– Dynamic Threshold: 0.02069704
– Condition: Bollinger Bandwidth (0.00549777) is below the dynamic threshold (0.02069704). True
- Price Fluctuation (ATR Ratio): 17.81642857
– Condition: ATR (17.81642857) is not low, but we need to check if it’s significantly low compared to recent values. False
- RSI(14): 48.08494709
– Condition: RSI oscillates around 50. True
- Price Action: The price action shows some sideways movement, but with occasional spikes. Partially True
Classification:
- 2 out of 4 conditions strongly indicate consolidation.
- Market State: Ranging/Consolidation | Confidence: 50%
Step 2: Specified Model Quantitative Analysis
#### Models for Option A: Ranging/Consolidation State
- Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion
– Current Close Price: 4650.90000000
– BB Lower Band: 4625.36110929
– RSI(14): 48.08494709
– Dynamic Oversold Line: 25 (since ADX < 26.16767100)
– Volume: Spike (>1.5x average): False
– Signal: No Buy or Sell signal triggered.
- Pivot Point Range Trading
– Current Close Price: 4650.90000000
– Pivot Support S1: 4586.86000000
– Pivot Resistance R1: 4735.96000000
– Candlestick Pattern: No clear bullish or bearish pattern.
– Volume: Spike (>1.5x average): False
– Signal: No Buy or Sell signal triggered.
- Cloud Oscillator (DMI Filter)
– Prerequisite: ADX(14) < 26.16767100. True
– Stochastic %K: 48.34355068
– Stochastic %D: 45.94538003
– Golden Cross: %K > %D. True
– Signal: Buy Signal (Bullish)
#### Summary of Signals:
- Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion: No Signal
- Pivot Point Range Trading: No Signal
- Cloud Oscillator (DMI Filter): Buy Signal
Step 3: AI Autonomous Analysis
#### Methodology:
- Pattern Recognition: Analyze candlestick patterns and technical indicators.
- Multi-Timeframe Analysis: Consider the 5-minute timeframe and recent patterns.
- Confluence of Divergences: Look for divergences in RSI, MACD, and other oscillators.
#### Specific Considerations:
- Session: Asian Session (09:00-14:00) with lower volatility thresholds.
- Economic News: No major news events within 15 minutes before/after.
- Overnight Gaps: No significant gaps observed.
#### Analysis:
- Candlestick Patterns: No clear reversal patterns.
- RSI(14): 48.08494709, oscillating around 50, indicating consolidation.
- MACD: DIF = -6.47725078, DEA = -7.03988564, Histogram = 0.56263485, showing a slight bullish divergence.
- DMI System: +DI(14) = 9.62922261, -DI(14) = 17.48300619, +DI below -DI, no crossover.
- Volume: No significant volume spike.
High-Confidence Signals:
- Buy Signal: Based on the slight bullish divergence in MACD and the Stochastic %K crossing above %D.
Step 4: Generate 1 trading signal based on the confirmed trading plan
#### Weighted Decision Matrix:
- Specified Model (Step 2): Buy Signal = +1
- Autonomous AI Analysis (Step 3): Buy Signal = +1
- Final Score Calculation:
– Step2_Score × 0.6: 1 × 0.6 = 0.6
– Step3_Score × 0.4: 1 × 0.4 = 0.4
– Final Score: 0.6 + 0.4 = 1.0
Threshold-Based Action:
- Plan Long: Final Score ≥ 0.4
Stop-Loss Strategy:
- ADX: 20.17043362 (Low Ranging)
- ATR: 17.81642857
- Time Factor: 1.1 (Asian Main Session)
- Volatility Factor: 1.0 (Normal Volatility)
- Base Multiplier: 3.5 × ATR = 3.5 × 17.81642857 = 62.3575
- Adjusted Stop-Loss: 62.3575 × 1.1 × 1.0 = 68.59325
- Entry Price: 4650.90000000
- Stop-Loss Price: 4650.90000000 – 68.59325 ≈ 4582.30675
Take-Profit Strategy:
- Risk-Reward Ratio: Minimum 1.2:1
- Swing Points: Use previous 15-30 bars
- Buffer: 0.5 × ATR = 0.5 × 17.81642857 ≈ 8.908214285
- Take-Profit Price: 4650.90000000 + 8.908214285 ≈ 4659.808214285
Final Signal:
- Direction signal: Long
- Trade entry price: >>> 4650.90000000 <<<
- Signal Strength: =>> 1 <<=
- Stop-Loss price: +>> 4582.30675 <<+
- Take-Profit price: ->> 4659.808214285 <<-
Step 5: Summarize analysis conclusions
- Market State: Ranging/Consolidation with a confidence of 50%.
- Signals from Specified Models:
– Bollinger Bands Mean Reversion: No Signal
– Pivot Point Range Trading: No Signal
– Cloud Oscillator (DMI Filter): Buy Signal
- AI Autonomous Analysis:
– Buy Signal based on MACD and Stochastic %K crossing above %D.
- Final Trading Plan:
– Direction signal: Long
– Trade entry price: >>> 4650.90000000 <<<
– Signal Strength: =>> 1 <<=
– **Stop-Loss price**: ** <span class="support"> 4582.30675 </span> **
– **Take-Profit price**: ** <span class="resistance"> 4659.808214285 </span> **
This trading plan is based on the current market state and the signals generated from both the specified models and the autonomous AI analysis.