XAUUSD价格趋势分析 (2026-03-26 09:00:16)

1. Macro & Bias

  • Key Levels (H1 Pivot Points):

– Pivot_R3: 4543.62

– Pivot_R2: 4530.89

– Pivot_R1: 4514.52

– Pivot_PP: 4501.79

– Pivot_S1: 4485.42

– Pivot_S2: 4472.69

– Pivot_S3: 4456.32

  • Trend Analysis:

M5: [NEUTRAL] | Reason: M5 is currently trading near the Pivot_PP, and the candle is a doji, indicating indecision.

H1: [BEAR] | Reason: H1 closed below the Pivot_PP and is showing a bearish engulfing pattern.

H4: [BEAR] | Reason: H4 closed below the Pivot_PP and has a small real body with a long lower wick, indicating bearish momentum.

  • Alignment Check:

– Alignment: [Full] | Logic: H4([BEAR]) vs H1([BEAR]) vs M5([NEUTRAL])

  • Major Bias Definition:

– Major_Bias: [BEAR] | Reason: H4_Tag is BEAR and not NEUTRAL.

2. M5-First Engine

  • Phase 1: Signal Scan

Key Level:

– Min(Dist_R1, Dist_S1) = 13.71 <= 3.61

– Key = Nearest(Pivot_R1, Pivot_S1) = 4514.52 (Pivot_R1)

Pre-Filter:

– Filter 1: M5_Body_Abs = 6.71 > 1.39 (Passed)

– Filter 2: Vol_Ratio = 1.27 >= 0.5 (Passed)

Short Setup Scan:

– Trigger: M5_Low > 4485.42 (Passed)

– Condition Set A (Breakout – Full Alignment):

– C1: M5_Close 4510.91)

– C2: (M5_Close < M5_Open) AND (M5_Wick_Upper 4534.94)

– Condition Set B (Rejection – Pullback/Retracement):

– C1: M5_High >= Key AND M5_Close < Key (Failed: 4539.25 < 4514.52)

– C2: (M5_Close < M5_Open) AND (M5_Wick_Upper 4534.94)

– Default: Signal_Dir = NONE, Signal_Type = None

Bull Setup Scan:

– Trigger: M5_High 4514.52)

– No further checks needed.

Reversal Scan:

– Trigger: M5_Low > 4472.69 and M5_High < 4530.89 (Passed)

– Common Constraint: |M5_Close – Key| > 5.41 (Failed: |4528.23 – 4514.52| = 13.71 > 5.41)

– No further checks needed.

Final Selection:

– No valid candidates from any route.

– Signal_Dir = NONE, Signal_Type = None

3. Quality Scoring

  • Trigger:

– Signal_Dir = NONE

– No further scoring needed.

4. Execution & Risk Management

  • Trigger:

– Status = WAIT (Signal_Dir = NONE)

5. Final Signal

  • Direction Signal: NEUTRAL / WAIT
  • Signal Strength: =>> 0 <<=
  • Last Close (M5): >>> 4528.23 <<<
  • Support (M5): +>> 4485.42 <<+
  • Resistance (M5): ->> 4514.52 <<-

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