XAUUSD价格趋势分析 (2026-04-09 06:15:07)

1. Macro & Bias
  • Key Levels (H1 Pivot Points):

– Pivot_R3: 4743.71

– Pivot_R2: 4737.92

– Pivot_R1: 4728.71

– Pivot_PP: 4722.92

– Pivot_S1: 4713.71

– Pivot_S2: 4707.92

– Pivot_S3: 4698.71

  • Trend Analysis:

– H4_Tag: NEUTRAL

– H1_Tag: BEAR

– M5_Tag: BEAR

– Alignment_Type: Retracement

– Major_Bias: BEAR

2. M5-First Engine
  • Phase 1: Signal Verification

– Signal_Dir: BEAR

– Signal_Type: REJECTION

– Signal_Strength: 1.95

– Key_Level: 4722.92

  • Phase 2: Quality Scoring

Momentum_Score: 0.55 (RSI: 48.09, Dir: BEAR)

Volume_Score: 0.0 (Vol_Ratio: 0.82)

Ctx_Mod: 0.5 (Tier: 3, Details: Retracement)

Div_Mod: 0.0 (Gap: 0.42, Confirmed: False)

Action_Bonus: 0.0 (Conditions: 0)

Target_Score: 0.47 (Dist: 0.96, Mom: 0.47)

Raw_Score: 1.05 (Mom: 0.55 + Vol: 0.0 + Ctx: 0.5 + Div: 0.0 + Act: 0.0)

Final_Score: 1.52 (Raw: 1.05 + Target: 0.47)

  • Quality Gate:

– Final_Score: 1.52 (>= 0.0) -> Proceed to Phase 3 Decision Gate

  • Phase 3: Decision Gate

Hard Veto Checks:

– Veto 1. Exhaustion: No (Exemption Check: Not Met)

– Veto 2. Fakeout: No

– Veto 3. Volume Spike with Weak Body: No

Dynamic Thresholds:

– Base_Threshold: 2.0 (Retracement)

– Vol_Adj: -0.05 (g_ATR_H1: 30.80, ATR_H1_20Avg: 33.38)

– threshold_val: 1.95 (Base: 2.0 + Adj: -0.05)

Final Decision Logic:

– Final_Score: 1.52 < threshold_val: 1.95

– Status: WAIT

– Reason: Score 1.52 vs Thresh 1.95 (Adj: -0.05) | Veto None | NegScore No

3. Execution & Risk Management
  • Status: WAIT

4. Output Final Signal
  • Direction Signal: WAIT
  • Signal Strength: 0
  • Last Close (M5): 4722.35
  • Support (M5): 4713.71
  • Resistance (M5): 4728.71

发表评论