XAUUSD价格趋势分析 (2026-04-14 19:15:03)

1. Macro & Bias
  • Key Levels (H1 Pivot Points):

– Pivot_R3: 4821.93

– Pivot_R2: 4804.95

– Pivot_R1: 4786.63

– Pivot_PP: 4769.65

– Pivot_S1: 4751.33

– Pivot_S2: 4734.35

– Pivot_S3: 4716.03

  • Trend Analysis:

– H4_Tag: BULL

– H1_Tag: BEAR

– M5_Tag: BULL

– Alignment_Type: Conflict

– Major_Bias: BULL

2. M5-First Engine
  • Phase 1: Signal Verification

– Signal_Dir: BULL

– Signal_Type: NEUTRAL_BREAK

– Signal_Strength: 2.20

– Key_Level: 4769.65

  • Phase 2: Quality Scoring

Momentum_Score: 0.04 (RSI: 49.15, Dir: BULL)

Volume_Score: 0.18 (Vol_Ratio: 1.09)

Ctx_Mod: -1.0 (Tier: 4, Details: Conflict)

Div_Mod: 0.0 (Gap: 17.34, Confirmed: False)

Action_Bonus: 0.0 (Conditions: 0)

Target_Score:

– Dist_Val: 0.67 (Distance_R2: 28.86)

– Momentum_Val: 0.11

– Target_Score: 0.39

Raw_Score: -0.78 (Mom: 0.04 + Vol: 0.18 + Ctx: -1.0 + Div: 0.0 + Act: 0.0)

Final_Score: -0.39 (Raw: -0.78 + Target: 0.39)

  • Quality Gate:

– Final_Score < 0.0: Signal quality too low, consider NEUTRAL.

  • Phase 3: Decision Gate

Pre-Check: Negative Score Veto

– Final_Score FORCE WAIT (Quality too low).

Hard Veto Checks:

– Veto 1. Exhaustion: NO

– Veto 2. Fakeout: NO

– Veto 3. Volume Spike with Weak Body: NO

Dynamic Thresholds:

– Base_Threshold: 2.0 (Conflict)

– Vol_Adj: -0.05 (g_ATR_H1: 17.42, ATR_H1_20Avg: 18.63)

– threshold_val: 1.95 (Base: 2.0 + Adj: -0.05)

Final Decision Logic:

– Final_Score FORCE WAIT

3. Execution & Risk Management
  • Status: WAIT
  • Reason: Score -0.39 vs Thresh 1.95 (Adj: -0.05) | Veto NO | NegScore

4. Output Final Signal
  • Direction Signal: NEUTRAL/WAIT
  • Signal Strength: =>> 0 <<=
  • Last Close (M5): >>> 4776.09 <<<
  • Support (M5): +>> 4751.33 <<+
  • Resistance (M5): ->> 4786.63 <<-

发表评论